Mls · resolved market
New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7080129ab0e1f1c2b1bf91476690955424cee7d6efaa0ba93a00d03411882c4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,546 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Under | 23c | 859.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 755.28$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 76c | 364.84$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.56 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 77c | 350.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 28c | 310.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 212.01$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 21c | 193.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 21c | 130.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 80c | 43.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 80c | 35.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 72c | 23.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0f4dbacked Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 72c | 18.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137a…636dbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5this page
- New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: New York City FC (-1.5)New York City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.