TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
AM Gamingof Eternal Fire, AM Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,273
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,273 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked AM Gaming63c1,936$1,227 inWon+$709.535,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Eternal Fire45c1,572$700 inLost-$70048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed AM Gaming63c839.52$529 inWon+$310.6271645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Eternal Fire36c599.97$213 inLost-$212.9949935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed AM Gaming60c500$300 inWon+$20066851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Eternal Fire35c499.96$175 inLost-$174.9955845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked AM Gaming50c466.57$233 inWon+$233.2833340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Eternal Fire39c454.76$177 inLost-$177.3689248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Eternal Fire37c299.99$110 inLost-$110.491945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed AM Gaming63c291.87$184 inWon+$108.32,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252b…2497backed AM Gaming64c259.45$166 inWon+$93.851384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.4wins+0.34per pick51cpaid+85.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Eternal Fire37c248.54$92 inLost-$91.712,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked AM Gaming66c182.26$120 inWon+$62.2648242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed Eternal Fire37c159.46$59 inLost-$5914653.4%78 W · 68 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Eternal Fire39c155.08$60 inLost-$605644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed AM Gaming63c140.67$88 inWon+$52.3250051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed AM Gaming64c140.52$90 inWon+$50.892,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Eternal Fire37c128.25$47 inLost-$47.4512846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Eternal Fire36c119.73$43 inLost-$43.131731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Eternal Fire38c113.14$43 inLost-$4317948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1405…9882backed AM Gaming63c102.7$65 inWon+$37.664042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Eternal Fire34c100$34 inLost-$34.3349149.9%245 W · 246 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Eternal Fire35c100$35 inLost-$3582146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Eternal Fire36c83.27$30 inLost-$29.9828549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Eternal Fire36c77.94$28 inLost-$28.0617038.8%66 W · 104 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked AM Gaming67c74.63$50 inWon+$24.635044%22 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Eternal Fire42c73.01$31 inLost-$30.6625042.4%106 W · 144 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cab…db1dbacked Eternal Fire37c54.05$20 inLost-$2015350.3%77 W · 76 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x186b…8567backed Eternal Fire36c51.56$19 inLost-$18.566333.3%21 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6986…3369backed AM Gaming63c43.55$27 inWon+$16.159849%48 W · 50 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed Eternal Fire35c37.45$13 inLost-$13.118548.2%41 W · 44 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Eternal Fire36c34.72$12 inLost-$12.529752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed AM Gaming63c21.98$14 inWon+$8.0322049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed AM Gaming63c21.1$13 inWon+$7.734750.7%176 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed AM Gaming61c20.47$13 inWon+$7.954,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed AM Gaming64c20$13 inWon+$7.236057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9444…048ebacked AM Gaming64c15.79$10 inWon+$5.7414751.7%76 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.