CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92c490d89cc6c391a51511840e0271f16ec762cab0dcf8e79ce385d9cb4031d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 51c | 1,227$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.23 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 801.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.24 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 35c | 427.43$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 55c | 248.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 28c | 239.05$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 53c | 188.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 45c | 158.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 28c | 144$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Over | 67c | 130.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 70c | 117.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 24c | 108.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 22c | 81.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 53c | 75.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 47c | 74.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 47c | 59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…2d0bbacked Over | 69c | 58.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…2497backed Over | 45c | 51.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 51.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…96febacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 70c | 34.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…d276backed Over | 72c | 26.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 77c | 24.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…f71bbacked Over | 78c | 22.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 45c | 22.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group AAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs AM Gaming (+3.5)AM Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs AM Gaming (+3.5)Eternal Fire won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Eternal Fire (-3.5) vs AM Gaming (+3.5)AM Gaming won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)AM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.