Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Lucas Andrade Da Silva vs Benjamin Torrealba
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70a6ba3a0099cf8979ef9b80af4767172f924e43bb911d94930be2879ac7313a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucas Andrade Da Silvaof Lucas Andrade Da Silva, Benjamin Torrealba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 70c | 1,510$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.52 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 79c | 1,088$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.87 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Benjamin Torrealba | 35c | 1,055$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 72c | 783.05$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Benjamin Torrealba | 9c | 347$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Benjamin Torrealba | 21c | 314.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Benjamin Torrealba | 25c | 270$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Benjamin Torrealba | 25c | 212$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Benjamin Torrealba | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 78c | 179$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Benjamin Torrealba | 29c | 175.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Benjamin Torrealba | 29c | 148.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Benjamin Torrealba | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Benjamin Torrealba | 27c | 140.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Benjamin Torrealba | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 75c | 131.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 72c | 128.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 69c | 118.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Benjamin Torrealba | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Benjamin Torrealba | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Benjamin Torrealba | 27c | 94.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Benjamin Torrealba | 57c | 76.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Benjamin Torrealba | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Benjamin Torrealba | 32c | 58.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 79c | 25.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Lucas Andrade Da Silva | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.