TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,868 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No59c12,213$7,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,215.4829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed No60c7,372$4,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,423.222548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c6,649$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes58c4,071$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.578,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38d…18cebacked No29c3,688$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes40c2,430$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.353,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes65c1,940$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.52,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked No64c1,312$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.475646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes44c1,099$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.0611855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes40c940.31$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.1945253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes40c897.44$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.471,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd876…4c8bbacked No27c836.7$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.883225%8 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Yes41c823.57$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.0210467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes68c718.71$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.471643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes41c714.6$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.7465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes41c714.6$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.7441256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No35c600.7$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.251957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+73.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Yes68c572.5$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No30c558.46$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.261,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No2c540.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.844843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes38c539.67$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.67047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes39c494.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.374450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c475.1$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.591,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No25c405.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.542,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes43c402.18$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.463,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes67c401.18$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.561,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No42c383.09$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.794831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes38c380.05$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6312541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes40c361.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.97034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes70c346.4$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.921,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No40c329.36$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2918452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked No60c325.33$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes40c319.76$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.196753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No60c311.5$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2510819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes64c300.56$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1647758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.616262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes78c213.05$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes67c172.97$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc78…c479backed Yes37c164.76$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.171758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.631745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes38c162.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.542035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No52c159.02$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.0294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes40c152.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9678756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5920846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes40c149.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6539127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Yes39c148.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.411457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes40c135.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2833266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x575d…a11abacked Yes79c135.27$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.411250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes44c125.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.352853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes41c110.93$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Yes44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No20c102.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7171619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes76c101.91$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.688740.2%35 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes37c98.08$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.991,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3991…9e9fbacked Yes39c96.63$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes41c94.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5216459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes41c94.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5210652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0335…caf1backed No57c84.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes55c83.89$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5544959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked No23c76.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.613023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes39c74.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2114352.4%75 W · 68 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Yes68c72.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c8e…fc1dbacked Yes41c66.81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c66.22$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.411,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Yes44c65.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes40c65.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.121,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…8beebacked Yes41c62.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.251369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes55c61.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1349535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes52c61.43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1434…d63bbacked No56c60.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…8417backed Yes75c59.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.751376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Yes65c57.64$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.17666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed No47c57.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.231855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0514…def7backed Yes68c55.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.642951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc93c…95cabacked Yes41c50.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.845862.1%36 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.517560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x628d…a012backed Yes40c48.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.926836.8%25 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes40c47.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.693345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked No48c47.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.18645.3%39 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes41c47.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7619761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes41c47.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7638861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes39c46.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6313739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes45c46.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7470055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7355…820ebacked Yes44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f3…5c66backed Yes41c43.59$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes41c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.192,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Yes40c38.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.15251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes38c38.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.568433.3%28 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ba…32ecbacked Yes42c37.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed Yes39c37.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.64566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdf4…e7c2backed Yes68c36.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No48c35.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9819356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes42c34.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9911849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No60c33.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0525864.3%166 W · 92 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes55c33.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7963061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7d…695fbacked Yes44c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.451030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f54…b79dbacked Yes48c30.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.911262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bef…17eabacked Yes42c29.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.331936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabd8…553cbacked Yes68c29.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.521883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.