Tennis · resolved market
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Kursumlijska Banja (Serbia), clay: Selena Janicijevic vs Rositsa Dencheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c742af89d6b0dd0950ed4ecf662b6f2d1d6e1cc01c912a1ba920ab882b92de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rositsa Denchevaof Selena Janicijevic, Rositsa Dencheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rositsa Dencheva | 70c | 55,913$39,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,724.05 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Selena Janicijevic | 30c | 47,749$14,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,282.27 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Selena Janicijevic | 25c | 7,473$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Selena Janicijevic | 25c | 696.48$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Selena Janicijevic | 28c | 597.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Rositsa Dencheva | 70c | 561.86$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 515 | 48.5%250 W · 265 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 71c | 528$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Selena Janicijevic | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Selena Janicijevic | 29c | 399.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Selena Janicijevic | 33c | 383.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…c489backed Selena Janicijevic | 30c | 367.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Rositsa Dencheva | 71c | 345.55$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Selena Janicijevic | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,006 | 40%402 W · 604 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Selena Janicijevic | 24c | 248.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 73c | 225.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Rositsa Dencheva | 59c | 163.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 959 | 38%364 W · 595 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 67c | 102.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 76c | 97.1$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Selena Janicijevic | 25c | 92.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1,606 | 24.4%392 W · 1,214 L | -41.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Selena Janicijevic | 55c | 87.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Selena Janicijevic | 33c | 78.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 536 | 47%252 W · 284 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Rositsa Dencheva | 64c | 73.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rositsa Dencheva | 75c | 63.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Rositsa Dencheva | 61c | 43.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Rositsa Dencheva | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 249 | 73.5%183 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…15e7backed Selena Janicijevic | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 80c | 29.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3,397 | 48.6%1,652 W · 1,745 L | -47.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 72c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Rositsa Dencheva | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 261 | 69%180 W · 81 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Rositsa Dencheva | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 458 | 64%293 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Rositsa Dencheva | 78c | 23.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 822 | 62.2%511 W · 311 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rositsa Dencheva | 80c | 20.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15d…b2cfbacked Rositsa Dencheva | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.