CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70de5d8bcba8865495045585f308370cebb5aad6160386c25ae67a892e13b02a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 9c | 976.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Phantom | 26c | 586.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 25c | 567.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 66c | 437.67$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Phantom | 44c | 360.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.83 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Phantom | 14c | 255.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked | 69c | 241.4$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Lavked | 75c | 234.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Lavked | 73c | 230.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 44c | 225.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…8318backed Phantom | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…7ddebacked Phantom | 10c | 181.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Phantom | 45c | 134.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Phantom | 32c | 133.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 78c | 133$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…c9b1backed Phantom | 15c | 128.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Phantom | 30c | 127.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed Lavked | 67c | 109.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Lavked | 56c | 100.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Lavked | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Lavked | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Lavked | 75c | 95.12$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Lavked | 72c | 85.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 74c | 75.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Phantom | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Phantom | 24c | 51.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 70c | 45.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Phantom | 44c | 40.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Lavked | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lavked | 55c | 38.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c65…45a6backed Lavked | 75c | 37.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 67c | 30.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Lavked | 65c | 27.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5381backed Lavked | 75c | 26.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Lavked | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.