CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b63a57491ebdd55a198c89ef9466d90acd7c938fb7c93d6af820c6a2f71bec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 16c | 1,986$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Phantom | 49c | 1,043$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.86 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…c9b1backed Phantom | 2c | 995.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 66c | 751.77$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Phantom | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom | 32c | 371.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom | 26c | 334.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lavked | 72c | 316.25$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.55 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed Lavked | 57c | 303.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Phantom | 22c | 300.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 59c | 271.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Lavked | 73c | 269.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 69c | 263.37$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.39 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Phantom | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Lavked | 64c | 174.37$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lavked | 63c | 145.1$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Lavked | 73c | 133.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 57c | 127.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Lavked | 50c | 96.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf0…af43backed Phantom | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 75c | 81.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked Lavked | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Phantom | 40c | 60.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 61c | 57.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…bbc4backed Lavked | 72c | 54.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom | 45c | 50.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 56c | 39.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Lavked | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed Lavked | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…0751backed Lavked | 62c | 26.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Lavked | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.