Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7110eded972dbb52ddac7dfda807672d1022e0128a11f5fd7c5b4c2dbe3db52c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 60c | 3,322$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.95 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Over | 41c | 2,376$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.35 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 39c | 604.26$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.66 | 108 | 31.5%34 W · 74 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 38c | 253.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.36 | 422 | 46.4%196 W · 226 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Over | 60c | 190$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 39c | 185.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 60c | 117.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 40c | 81.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 52c | 74.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 35c | 57.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 59c | 51.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Over | 41c | 49.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 49c | 39.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Under | 40c | 28.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Under | 40c | 28.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under | 40c | 28.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 39c | 26.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 72c | 20.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports Challengers won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports Challengers won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports Challengers won
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.