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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KOLESIEof KOLESIE, GenOne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked KOLESIE66c880.51$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.23,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed GenOne45c850.45$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5678043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed KOLESIE53c556.95$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6482142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed KOLESIE56c459$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.985752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed GenOne43c407$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.0135948.5%174 W · 185 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked KOLESIE60c381.59$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.885,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne39c379$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.434,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed GenOne48c261.93$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.365946.9%309 W · 350 L+18.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0daa…6be6backed GenOne9c130$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.35195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick17cpaid-73.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked KOLESIE51c126$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.743,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed GenOne48c119.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked KOLESIE53c119.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.533,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked KOLESIE52c112.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed GenOne47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.783643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x297a…198bbacked GenOne48c108$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.846331.7%20 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked KOLESIE70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.350458.5%295 W · 209 L-1.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE63c79.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.342,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd776…4fb8backed GenOne34c70.97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247435.1%26 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GenOne28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.66,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked GenOne32c68.39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.042,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe232…6ceabacked GenOne19c59.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46811.8%8 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed GenOne33c55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed GenOne47c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed KOLESIE68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126860.3%41 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed GenOne48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2096743.5%421 W · 546 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed GenOne34c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.285,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked KOLESIE67c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2425039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.