Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Menelaos Efstathiou
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x714a9c2df1bfc12f9f238492ba168d84d694e93d6a0b0f79601bbf7ca3738a6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abedallah Shelbayhof Abedallah Shelbayh, Menelaos Efstathiou
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 48c | 8,404$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 24c | 2,276$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.56 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 56c | 2,101$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.43 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 72c | 1,916$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.48 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 64c | 1,570$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.44 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 3c | 974$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 30c | 709$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.18 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 71c | 701.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.49 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 61c | 653.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.36 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 71c | 598.8$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 61c | 541.01$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 33c | 479.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c95backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 21c | 470.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 68c | 447.74$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 29c | 424.16$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.51 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 78c | 383.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 36c | 340$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 31c | 319.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…158cbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 36c | 280.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf959…6026backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 64c | 267.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 77c | 243.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 57c | 223.68$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 32c | 205.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 55c | 182.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 42c | 167.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 62c | 162.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 46c | 157.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 32c | 152.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 77c | 152.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 66c | 152.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 78c | 139.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 70c | 132.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 76c | 131.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 40c | 110.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 50c | 97.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d62…8fb4backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 24c | 94.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…bb40backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 57c | 79.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 21c | 73.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 69c | 72.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…9dc9backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…06d8backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 52c | 67.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…717abacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 57c | 58.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 34c | 57.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 77c | 57.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Abedallah Shelbayh | 47c | 53.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…6656backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 22c | 50.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Menelaos Efstathiou | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Menelaos Efstathiou | 54c | 37.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 80c | 29.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…d591backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 79c | 18.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Abedallah Shelbayh | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Menelaos Efstathiouthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shelbayh vs EfstathiouEfstathiou won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.