Tennis · resolved market
ITF Amstelveen: Merel Hoedt vs Dune Vaissaud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a59332c3763fad9f12986cdffdf900c309f64eed013ff495aaa02610f26880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dune Vaissaudof Merel Hoedt, Dune Vaissaud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe7c2…206abacked Dune Vaissaud | 60c | 535.36$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77ab…f5c0backed Dune Vaissaud | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Merel Hoedt | 20c | 433.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Dune Vaissaud | 39c | 404.58$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.79 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Dune Vaissaud | 77c | 399.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Merel Hoedt | 79c | 367.26$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Dune Vaissaud | 47c | 215.08$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dune Vaissaud | 67c | 203.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Merel Hoedt | 37c | 198.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Merel Hoedt | 59c | 153.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Dune Vaissaud | 73c | 141.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Merel Hoedt | 71c | 140.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Merel Hoedt | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…e8e1backed Merel Hoedt | 66c | 121.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dune Vaissaud | 34c | 119.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…3833backed Dune Vaissaud | 47c | 116.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…084cbacked Merel Hoedt | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Merel Hoedt | 58c | 85.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Dune Vaissaud | 42c | 83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Dune Vaissaud | 32c | 74.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Merel Hoedt | 61c | 67.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…f555backed Dune Vaissaud | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…5906backed Dune Vaissaud | 31c | 64.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dune Vaissaud | 34c | 61.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Dune Vaissaud | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Dune Vaissaud | 50c | 46.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Dune Vaissaud | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Merel Hoedt | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Merel Hoedt | 49c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dune Vaissaud | 25c | 40.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d2…22dcbacked Merel Hoedt | 78c | 38.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Merel Hoedt | 30c | 37.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dune Vaissaud | 60c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Merel Hoedt | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Merel Hoedt | 43c | 31.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Dune Vaissaud | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Dune Vaissaud | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Dune Vaissaud | 42c | 26.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Dune Vaissaud | 54c | 25.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Merel Hoedt | 60c | 22.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Merel Hoedt | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.