Tennis · resolved market
ITF Nottingham: Manon Leonard vs Hannah Klugman
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f708d7dbf8a1d79f109f09f91fffa948ed726cba926d7c4e65e584abd34e05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hannah Klugmanof Manon Leonard, Hannah Klugman
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Manon Leonard | 29c | 2,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Hannah Klugman | 70c | 1,367$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.95 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Manon Leonard | 28c | 566.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.21 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Manon Leonard | 29c | 491.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Manon Leonard | 15c | 331.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Manon Leonard | 7c | 319.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Manon Leonard | 32c | 316.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Manon Leonard | 20c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Manon Leonard | 23c | 159.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manon Leonard | 24c | 139.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Hannah Klugman | 67c | 110.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Manon Leonard | 18c | 95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…b6a0backed Hannah Klugman | 77c | 91.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Hannah Klugman | 78c | 83.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Manon Leonard | 23c | 76.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Manon Leonard | 25c | 62.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Hannah Klugman | 70c | 60.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Hannah Klugman | 77c | 56.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…c9eebacked Hannah Klugman | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hannah Klugman | 78c | 53.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Hannah Klugman | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Manon Leonard | 22c | 51.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Manon Leonard | 38c | 51.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Manon Leonard | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hannah Klugman | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hannah Klugman | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hannah Klugman | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hannah Klugman | 75c | 31.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hannah Klugman | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Manon Leonard | 39c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Manon Leonard | 58c | 20.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Nottingham: Manon Leonard vs Hannah Klugmanthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Leonard vs KlugmanKlugman won
- Set Handicap: Klugman (-1.5) vs Leonard (+1.5)Leonard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.