Middle East · resolved market
Will Netanyahu meet with Trump?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7222faf17c6b889d1c42cc1937cb09aff64b22fa677eb76db33c34e708e2b9ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc411…caa7backed No | 3c | 4,694$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 2c | 4,120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed No | 24c | 538.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…1feebacked No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 69c | 313.58$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…b53bbacked No | 32c | 312.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 69c | 295$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bf…e42ebacked Yes | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b1…8b46backed No | 44c | 268$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…d35fbacked Yes | 77c | 260.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked No | 31c | 240.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 19c | 227.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…1298backed No | 5c | 209.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +152%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…8047backed No | 29c | 189.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99b…a10fbacked Yes | 65c | 179.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x838c…5252backed No | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…98babacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c9…7ca7backed Yes | 70c | 142.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4e…fc1abacked No | 12c | 135.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 73c | 130.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb169…b67abacked Yes | 71c | 97.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a85…37c8backed Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…5772backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…9799backed No | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…07e1backed No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 79c | 53.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…6cacbacked Yes | 69c | 51.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…f554backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533f…2ef1backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8a…3082backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04eebacked No | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c6…533bbacked Yes | 70c | 39.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1a…d7a1backed No | 66c | 27.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a5…1d0abacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…d337backed Yes | 69c | 20.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba0…a7c4backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.