Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tarvisio: Alja Senica vs Katerina Tsygourova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x722891403e40ebcc582d9794e4f8308236ecd180b8be7bf8df4ca02a1a01c93a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alja Senicaof Alja Senica, Katerina Tsygourova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 52c | 6,368$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.47 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alja Senica | 35c | 6,302$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.81 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 31c | 2,176$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.96 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 48c | 1,400$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.7 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alja Senica | 76c | 1,194$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.48 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Alja Senica | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alja Senica | 76c | 570.45$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alja Senica | 79c | 562.79$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katerina Tsygourova | 79c | 538.33$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.41 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 72c | 420.42$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alja Senica | 79c | 400.25$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alja Senica | 73c | 364.5$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alja Senica | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alja Senica | 77c | 342.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alja Senica | 24c | 249.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 16c | 188.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alja Senica | 47c | 175.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Katerina Tsygourova | 20c | 137.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 49.8%498 W · 502 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alja Senica | 78c | 130.17$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Katerina Tsygourova | 76c | 99.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Katerina Tsygourova | 74c | 97.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.95 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Katerina Tsygourova | 11c | 97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Katerina Tsygourova | 76c | 88.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 76c | 79.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Katerina Tsygourova | 19c | 74.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alja Senica | 37c | 72.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Katerina Tsygourova | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Katerina Tsygourova | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Katerina Tsygourova | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 57.3%181 W · 135 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…828fbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Alja Senica | 68c | 59.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Alja Senica | 75c | 50.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Katerina Tsygourova | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Katerina Tsygourova | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Katerina Tsygourova | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alja Senica | 26c | 38.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alja Senica | 65c | 36.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Katerina Tsygourova | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alja Senica | 48c | 27.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Katerina Tsygourova | 65c | 22.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Alja Senica | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Katerina Tsygourova | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Alja Senica | 62c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Katerina Tsygourova | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Tarvisio: Alja Senica vs Katerina Tsygourovathis page
- Alja Senica vs. Katerina Tsygourova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Tsygourova (-1.5) vs Senica (+1.5)Senica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.