Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hameenlinna: Carla Giambelli vs Venla Ahti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7243a9f3bbac8c807c33e962aef6ab8b04008ae942640995a4e3b6ffa077bc2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Venla Ahtiof Carla Giambelli, Venla Ahti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Venla Ahti | 34c | 3,570$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carla Giambelli | 66c | 3,137$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Venla Ahti | 18c | 2,694$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Venla Ahti | 3c | 637.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.27 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Carla Giambelli | 67c | 302.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Venla Ahti | 5c | 260$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Carla Giambelli | 67c | 209$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…d0a7backed Carla Giambelli | 60c | 166.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Venla Ahti | 32c | 156.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Carla Giambelli | 65c | 154.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Carla Giambelli | 73c | 92.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Carla Giambelli | 67c | 84.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Venla Ahti | 37c | 81.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Venla Ahti | 29c | 70.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Carla Giambelli | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Venla Ahti | 73c | 54.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Carla Giambelli | 66c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Carla Giambelli | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 47.7%156 W · 171 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a0…1257backed Carla Giambelli | 76c | 20.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Carla Giambelli | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.