NFL · resolved market
Browns vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72518793d4b046de4d936caa9da59d4e69cd47ee0bbf985b1a4ee6a76efcdd5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Browns, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Browns | 11c | 23,304$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.66 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Vikings | 37c | 5,402$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.14 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Browns | 61c | 4,514$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.22 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Browns | 65c | 2,856$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.4 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Browns | 9c | 1,201$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Vikings | 37c | 500$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.99 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Vikings | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Vikings | 37c | 444$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Browns | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbadd…0a9fbacked Browns | 60c | 252$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa13…0e0ebacked Browns | 60c | 252$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5009…dc6abacked Browns | 60c | 252$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c88…ae32backed Browns | 60c | 252$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad38…c769backed Browns | 60c | 252$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…7471backed Browns | 60c | 252$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cc…f76cbacked Vikings | 44c | 235.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Vikings | 36c | 213$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Browns | 35c | 209.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…085cbacked Browns | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…73e0backed Browns | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…49efbacked Browns | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…6ab7backed Browns | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…ca20backed Browns | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…84acbacked Browns | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…a3c2backed Browns | 60c | 189$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Browns | 63c | 160.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Browns | 59c | 139.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Vikings | 39c | 111$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c23…6e68backed Browns | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Browns | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb98…969dbacked Vikings | 72c | 94.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…d561backed Vikings | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…8500backed Browns | 60c | 63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…e1adbacked Browns | 66c | 52.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Vikings | 33c | 51.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…40d4backed Browns | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…30e6backed Vikings | 37c | 44.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Browns | 64c | 39.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…300ebacked Browns | 67c | 38.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Vikings | 42c | 35.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Browns | 64c | 34.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Vikings | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…e0e8backed Browns | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.