Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7256b70b6da9b460b11b057b28c96b511664712182df4136f38f84298617d8d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 21c | 150.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 10c | 141.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 32c | 128$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 14c | 96.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 79c | 50.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ritsu Doan be in Japan's Starting 11?this page
- Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11?No won
- Will Ayumu Seko be in Japan's Starting 11?No won
- Will Daichi Kamada be in Japan's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Daizen Maeda be in Japan's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Hiroki Ito be in Japan's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Junya Ito be in Japan's Starting 11?No won
- Will Kaishu Sano be in Japan's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Keito Nakamura be in Japan's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Ko Itakura be in Japan's Starting 11?No won
- Will Shogo Taniguchi be in Japan's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Takehiro Tomiyasu be in Japan's Starting 11?No won
- Will Tsuyoshi Watanabe be in Japan's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Yuito Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.