Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Tiana Tian Deng vs Jing-Jing Lu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7270eec98db3f90e9f15125336af89f62d5ebcb2c0cc27df76bf7963eaa671db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jing-Jing Luof Tiana Tian Deng, Jing-Jing Lu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tiana Tian Deng | 66c | 1,454$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.33 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Jing-Jing Lu | 50c | 802.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.08 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jing-Jing Lu | 34c | 777.72$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.83 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jing-Jing Lu | 34c | 481.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.08 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 73c | 434.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.69 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Tiana Tian Deng | 60c | 332.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jing-Jing Lu | 26c | 262.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.48 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jing-Jing Lu | 52c | 226.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.15 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…f416backed Tiana Tian Deng | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tiana Tian Deng | 39c | 140.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jing-Jing Lu | 47c | 105.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jing-Jing Lu | 79c | 89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Jing-Jing Lu | 65c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Tiana Tian Deng | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Jing-Jing Lu | 29c | 49.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Jing-Jing Lu | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Jing-Jing Lu | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jing-Jing Lu | 40c | 40.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Tiana Tian Deng | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Tiana Tian Deng | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Jing-Jing Lu | 77c | 31.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Tiana Tian Deng | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Jing-Jing Lu | 53c | 24.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Tiana Tian Deng | 68c | 22.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Tiana Tian Deng | 79c | 17.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tiana Tian Deng | 63c | 17.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Tiana Tian Deng | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.