MLB · resolved market
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727159163e32085dab5b26921e05cf21b799bbfac87717785fc6a2439e40108a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samsung Lionsof Samsung Lions, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 28c | 1,606$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.36 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…b9dbbacked Samsung Lions | 75c | 1,228$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Samsung Lions | 54c | 802.45$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.19 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NC Dinos | 46c | 614.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.89 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 14c | 441.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed NC Dinos | 46c | 429.16$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Samsung Lions | 62c | 249.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked NC Dinos | 39c | 245.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Samsung Lions | 57c | 190.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed Samsung Lions | 60c | 106.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Samsung Lions | 64c | 97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…d779backed NC Dinos | 43c | 92.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 91.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…9befbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 49c | 66.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…88b6backed Samsung Lions | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Samsung Lions | 60c | 55.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 53.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Samsung Lions | 53c | 50.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Samsung Lions | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Samsung Lions | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Samsung Lions | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Samsung Lions | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…74ebbacked NC Dinos | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 414 | 44%182 W · 232 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 24c | 49.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Samsung Lions | 51c | 48.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Samsung Lions | 50c | 45.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed NC Dinos | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…df77backed Samsung Lions | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Samsung Lions | 72c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 372 | 67.7%252 W · 120 L | +33.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Samsung Lions | 51c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.