Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ac3111a46d510966cff5d53b1cde36482570ddeca056ef9c61412afce6b695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73b7…e4e7backed Yes | 3c | 34,049$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…4380backed Yes | 3c | 12,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 3c | 10,058$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.39 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f8…2062backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 8,784$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…68f9backed Yes | 0c | 8,130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Yes | 2c | 4,215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 3c | 4,044$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 3c | 3,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 2,665$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 4c | 2,572$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 3c | 2,218$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,134$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…bfd0backed Yes | 3c | 1,646$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,163$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ab99backed Yes | 3c | 1,071$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…94b9backed Yes | 3c | 1,071$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d7…761dbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 3c | 979.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 3c | 926$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252a…5d60backed Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 3c | 715$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…ffcdbacked Yes | 3c | 678.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa148…f851backed Yes | 4c | 587.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 228 | 25.4%58 W · 170 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…22f0backed Yes | 3c | 453.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cb…275abacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 8.7%9 W · 94 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…0fddbacked Yes | 3c | 399.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…b47dbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…07a6backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +184.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…0dedbacked Yes | 4c | 300.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…f4c5backed Yes | 4c | 283.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.