Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc718749b461af9c3af5424d622e8282d66bc01201066ef22d947afb95afc498d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 15,543$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 12,178$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.35 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…9914backed Yes | 4c | 8,731$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,921$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ced…d59fbacked Yes | 4c | 5,015$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.66 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…ef94backed Yes | 4c | 2,591$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 3c | 2,419$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…9825backed Yes | 1c | 2,308$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 2,290$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…c02fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,658$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7e…8909backed Yes | 3c | 1,613$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…aaffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,263$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5473…f736backed Yes | 2c | 1,216$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 18.1%13 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 4c | 989.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa674…36a2backed Yes | 1c | 963.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…e14fbacked Yes | 4c | 764.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes | 4c | 690$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Yes | 4c | 675.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 202 | 24.8%50 W · 152 L | -15.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 4c | 675.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Yes | 4c | 541$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 154 | 24.7%38 W · 116 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…1a94backed Yes | 4c | 540.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 24.4%47 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…67d0backed Yes | 4c | 519.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…776dbacked Yes | 4c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…a820backed Yes | 4c | 484.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 441.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 4c | 437.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Yes | 5c | 424.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 4c | 411.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 4c | 405.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…9db2backed Yes | 4c | 394.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…f17ebacked Yes | 4c | 381.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 4c | 333.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…1e87backed Yes | 4c | 290.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…36f4backed Yes | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…ac3dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…1c2ebacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Saudi Arabia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Saudi Arabia?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.