Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Sofia Kenin vs Elsa Jacquemot
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x731b190ceac4c08156cbb29ffe1d3d751e3d71370ede9417df85136baf862458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Keninof Sofia Kenin, Elsa Jacquemot
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70bc…4e16backed Elsa Jacquemot | 24c | 2,768$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sofia Kenin | 80c | 2,520$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.08 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Sofia Kenin | 73c | 2,059$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.99 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elsa Jacquemot | 9c | 773.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elsa Jacquemot | 26c | 549.02$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.42 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Elsa Jacquemot | 30c | 244.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sofia Kenin | 78c | 237.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Elsa Jacquemot | 15c | 214.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Elsa Jacquemot | 17c | 172.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Elsa Jacquemot | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Elsa Jacquemot | 29c | 104.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Elsa Jacquemot | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Elsa Jacquemot | 21c | 73.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sofia Kenin | 74c | 65.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sofia Kenin | 76c | 58.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Sofia Kenin | 78c | 51.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Elsa Jacquemot | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Elsa Jacquemot | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Elsa Jacquemot | 30c | 39.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed Sofia Kenin | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sofia Kenin | 69c | 36.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…0d49backed Sofia Kenin | 79c | 35.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 43 | 81.4%35 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 78cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Sofia Kenin | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sofia Kenin | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sofia Kenin | 73c | 18.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Sofia Kenin | 71c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.