CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs EMPIRE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x733975eae95df4c2e78b2064de35c768ebd3951d3eaa2c488ee802783a12ba9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wanted Goonsof Wanted Goons, EMPIRE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Wanted Goons | 57c | 2,042$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.34 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed EMPIRE | 44c | 1,137$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.77 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Wanted Goons | 35c | 754.96$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.58 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b0…ab95backed Wanted Goons | 61c | 676.7$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wanted Goons | 55c | 598.13$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.21 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed EMPIRE | 58c | 465.67$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed EMPIRE | 44c | 438.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.89 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked EMPIRE | 45c | 436.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked EMPIRE | 45c | 427.92$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.42 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed EMPIRE | 46c | 368.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.84 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Wanted Goons | 58c | 352.78$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.82 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked EMPIRE | 57c | 315.61$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Wanted Goons | 42c | 305.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.45 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Wanted Goons | 43c | 224.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked EMPIRE | 45c | 219.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked EMPIRE | 50c | 217.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.95 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb387…4a00backed EMPIRE | 5c | 200.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed EMPIRE | 49c | 200.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked EMPIRE | 42c | 194.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed EMPIRE | 48c | 193.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed EMPIRE | 48c | 182.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked EMPIRE | 19c | 171$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Wanted Goons | 54c | 170.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked EMPIRE | 42c | 147.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked EMPIRE | 46c | 140.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked EMPIRE | 30c | 139.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed EMPIRE | 31c | 121.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Wanted Goons | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed EMPIRE | 38c | 114.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed EMPIRE | 28c | 103.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked EMPIRE | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +12.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Wanted Goons | 77c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Wanted Goons | 41c | 87.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Wanted Goons | 43c | 87.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked EMPIRE | 49c | 84.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed EMPIRE | 43c | 83.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Wanted Goons | 37c | 77.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked EMPIRE | 48c | 73.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked EMPIRE | 33c | 71.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Wanted Goons | 58c | 65.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Wanted Goons | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed EMPIRE | 43c | 46.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed EMPIRE | 43c | 45.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Wanted Goons | 56c | 43.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked EMPIRE | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Wanted Goons | 41c | 39.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Wanted Goons | 41c | 37.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…0f2abacked Wanted Goons | 46c | 30.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Wanted Goons | 53c | 23.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…0438backed Wanted Goons | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 31 | 96.8%30 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 77cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs EMPIRE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs EMPIRE - Map 1 WinnerWanted Goons won
- Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs EMPIRE - Map 2 WinnerEMPIRE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.