CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7341adf8aadb7f9671adfda280d3a8d0471163067a25a86bfc94125ca4f1eac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spirit Academyof Omega, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Omega | 21c | 450.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.47 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit Academy | 49c | 349$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Omega | 59c | 267.13$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.92 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Omega | 51c | 170.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Omega | 23c | 152.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Spirit Academy | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Spirit Academy | 39c | 122.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Omega | 50c | 118.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Spirit Academy | 54c | 113.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Omega | 20c | 107.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Omega | 39c | 103.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Omega | 57c | 100.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Omega | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9a…000dbacked Omega | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Spirit Academy | 46c | 89.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Omega | 42c | 70.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…7654backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 69.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Omega | 51c | 64.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 55.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Spirit Academy | 79c | 55.65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed Omega | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 54.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Omega | 64c | 51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Omega | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Omega | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Omega | 61c | 48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Omega | 57c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Omega | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Omega | 53c | 30.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Omega | 42c | 28.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.3wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…c8b7backed Spirit Academy | 74c | 26.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked Omega | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Omega | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Omega | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed Omega | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Spirit Academy | 60c | 17.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Spirit Academy | 75c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 WinnerSpirit Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Spirit Academy - Map 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.