Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739097f22c4b338add72a0abf1875f05d55f8215c400e93b4198d8f8de11416e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Movistar KOI Fénix, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 74c | 862.5$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Barça eSports | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Barça eSports | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 527 | 41.2%217 W · 310 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Barça eSports | 28c | 161.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 70c | 74.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Barça eSports | 26c | 51.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Barça eSports | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 184 | 63.6%117 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)this page
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5)Movistar KOI Fénix won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES PlayoffsMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 3 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.