Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45518e3eecdabc4812b2ef5a9786fdcc009041d3a674b3140390d48734d2d50a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 55c | 2,769$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.86 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 45c | 2,112$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.55 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Under | 53c | 1,502$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.35 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 580.71$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 45c | 271.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 53c | 139$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 44c | 125.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 50c | 114.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 42c | 77.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Over | 57c | 46.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 55c | 45.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 45c | 44.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 42c | 40.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +287.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Over | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Over | 33c | 35.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 44c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 45c | 33.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73fd…a02abacked Over | 59c | 25.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d89…2b45backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 68c | 18.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)Movistar KOI Fénix won
- Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5)Movistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO5) - LES PlayoffsMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 3 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.