TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Barça eSports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix, Barça eSports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,210
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,834

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,210 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0659…d74dbacked Barça eSports42c4,035$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.2177949.9%389 W · 390 L+12.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Barça eSports60c2,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1903,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Barça eSports48c1,756$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.521,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix50c1,606$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.361,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix59c1,603$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.5216547.3%78 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix42c1,235$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.9262151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix62c1,131$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7742348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix50c1,120$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.741,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix45c998$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix63c995.82$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.4524554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix40c957.25$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.3513442.5%57 W · 77 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix42c956$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.581,14945.2%519 W · 630 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Barça eSports58c874.4$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.1563344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa08f…745bbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix41c744.85$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.465255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Barça eSports57c526.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9942044%185 W · 235 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Barça eSports40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Barça eSports57c341.05$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.41,38145.1%623 W · 758 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix49c291.53$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.682,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed Barça eSports58c259.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509436.2%34 W · 60 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Barça eSports45c245.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11019351.3%99 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix41c244$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9656650%283 W · 283 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc126…4079backed Barça eSports43c208.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.973946.2%18 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cc5…6984backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d4…a3d5backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix62c186.7$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9524457.8%141 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5848…56a1backed Barça eSports58c173.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa103…1c14backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix41c172.97$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.056844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Barça eSports59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed Barça eSports59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052441%215 W · 309 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Barça eSports43c144$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2246452.4%243 W · 221 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Barça eSports58c140$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.21,02345.1%461 W · 562 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Barça eSports59c98.22$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3244544.9%200 W · 245 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe76a…47c0backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9728756.1%161 W · 126 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Barça eSports40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7518844.7%84 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Barça eSports45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7597254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Barça eSports55c59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4524940.2%100 W · 149 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix42c56.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.654645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix42c53.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Barça eSports57c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.361746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0158437.2%217 W · 367 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix42c48.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9527348%131 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe567…f0cfbacked Barça eSports61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Barça eSports47c37.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+287.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.360243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix40c28.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1429738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Barça eSports54c27.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8217439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x068c…8b63backed ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix46c27.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8210056%56 W · 44 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Barça eSports58c25.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6323342.9%100 W · 133 L-19.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Barça eSports41c24.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025436.6%93 W · 161 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.