South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-12-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73baf4bb00b64ae3564b4e0f9596ea63f40b8f93a106030fb8dbcc987a6ed529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 66c | 19,546$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,645.66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 2,671$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.63 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…0d3bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,520$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 2,374$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.77 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b2…f8d4backed No | 68c | 1,567$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…fbaebacked Yes | 32c | 1,566$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed No | 68c | 1,365$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…1f4abacked No | 68c | 1,260$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe04e…9e28backed No | 68c | 1,260$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 17c | 1,161$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 74c | 1,100$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 829.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a44…c9e1backed Yes | 32c | 824$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a0…fdbbbacked No | 68c | 566$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbf…d298backed No | 68c | 258$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 248.82$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Yes | 7c | 201.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 67c | 195.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…c55abacked Yes | 32c | 188$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 180.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 12c | 156.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -10.4wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 33c | 139.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 24c | 130.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 32c | 125.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed No | 67c | 125$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…09ddbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 14c | 105.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 100.26$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 27c | 79.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 75.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 80c | 73.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 66c | 68.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Yes | 32c | 48.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…8e17backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea9…be41backed Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 33c | 37.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…c05dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 76c | 24.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed No | 73c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…ca52backed No | 68c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2025-12-02?this page
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-12-02?Yes won
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.