Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KHK (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ed4a1f796bdf60dbb778615c5ba01b155e9b6405fb4bb1755e303d446c4f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VfB eSportsof Kaufland Hangry Knights, VfB eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 64c | 2,325$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.34 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed VfB eSports | 36c | 1,846$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.24 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…30edbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 62c | 320.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 62c | 249.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.73 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked VfB eSports | 42c | 240.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 63c | 237.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.14 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed VfB eSports | 42c | 235.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.48 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked VfB eSports | 37c | 218.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed VfB eSports | 37c | 212.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.07 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked VfB eSports | 36c | 107.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…e7ffbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 62c | 104$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked VfB eSports | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked VfB eSports | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed VfB eSports | 38c | 55.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed VfB eSports | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked VfB eSports | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed VfB eSports | 40c | 36.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 62c | 19.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KHK (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)this page
- LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BKaufland Hangry Knights won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 WinnerVfB eSports won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 WinnerKaufland Hangry Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.