Lol · resolved market
LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0712e905bfc6166b1d57f0532010fc5d95e453fa8549d024ce3e7d7cc9b96f58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kaufland Hangry Knightsof VfB eSports, Kaufland Hangry Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed VfB eSports | 9c | 1,444$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.38 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked VfB eSports | 23c | 1,175$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.13 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed VfB eSports | 15c | 1,148$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed VfB eSports | 24c | 790.25$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.66 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed VfB eSports | 20c | 753.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 79c | 716.42$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked VfB eSports | 2c | 662.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 77c | 572.31$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed VfB eSports | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked VfB eSports | 22c | 496.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked VfB eSports | 18c | 400.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed VfB eSports | 23c | 389.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked VfB eSports | 7c | 389$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 77c | 371.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.81 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked VfB eSports | 13c | 360.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed VfB eSports | 9c | 347.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked VfB eSports | 15c | 331.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked VfB eSports | 16c | 305.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed VfB eSports | 22c | 282.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed VfB eSports | 18c | 275.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ea…2675backed VfB eSports | 7c | 271.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…ce84backed VfB eSports | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed VfB eSports | 18c | 193.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed VfB eSports | 18c | 161.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 161 | 42.2%68 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed VfB eSports | 25c | 111.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 62.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 36.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 286 | 57%163 W · 123 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 131 | 71%93 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 75c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 22.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 22.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 79c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 77c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 79c | 15.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…866bbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 12.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.52 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…71bbbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Kaufland Hangry Knights | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KHK (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)VfB eSports won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group BKaufland Hangry Knights won
- LoL: VfB eSports vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 WinnerVfB eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.