Mls · resolved market
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73fc680e83ddfd15e95a6c5195a0b40582b62a617f316092efe18dae12bda2ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 2,447$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.57 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 59c | 2,375$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.83 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 68c | 1,436$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.16 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 23c | 987.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.47 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 27c | 975$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.53 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 5c | 596.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 571.09$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.08 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 331.79$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 112.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 65c | 109.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 104.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 43c | 98.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 56c | 97.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 29c | 88.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 37c | 67.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 56c | 61.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 44c | 60.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked No | 40c | 37.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 66c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Yes | 44c | 36.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7077…ebc5backed Yes | 66c | 15.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Portland Timbers end in a draw?No won
- Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.