Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7411837ffb5eb7fe1fec396de31fca0e6801579877bdf8302314602506bab94b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Maryville University | 75c | 1,103$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed CCG Esports | 26c | 638.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Maryville University | 73c | 630.62$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed CCG Esports | 25c | 609.92$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked CCG Esports | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked CCG Esports | 15c | 250.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CCG Esports | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports | 27c | 201$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Maryville University | 73c | 166.34$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Maryville University | 75c | 122.67$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Maryville University | 73c | 104.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked CCG Esports | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed CCG Esports | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked CCG Esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Maryville University | 75c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 514 | 54.5%280 W · 234 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked Maryville University | 79c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)Maryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.