Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9cea67ce93393e62aa8300a0109e5a64b4124deca6034604748d5cc9203310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66d2…4186backed Maryville University | 50c | 11,126$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,567.33 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked CCG Esports | 49c | 6,013$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.34 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed CCG Esports | 47c | 512.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked CCG Esports | 56c | 441$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked CCG Esports | 56c | 301$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CCG Esports | 49c | 268$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.04 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked CCG Esports | 56c | 216.43$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked CCG Esports | 55c | 203$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked CCG Esports | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Maryville University | 54c | 184.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked CCG Esports | 56c | 121$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed CCG Esports | 56c | 101$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed CCG Esports | 56c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed CCG Esports | 49c | 76.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked CCG Esports | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked CCG Esports | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Maryville University | 42c | 63.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed CCG Esports | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Maryville University | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed CCG Esports | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed CCG Esports | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked CCG Esports | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked CCG Esports | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed CCG Esports | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 WinnerMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.