CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x741b428f572b91ed5d447478d8b83d4c2088fbba258f22dcd193a9a4db5f9f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof ex-RUSTEC, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 5,987$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.86 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 3,194$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 608.05$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-MANA eSports | 32c | 571.46$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed ex-MANA eSports | 36c | 550.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.39 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed ex-MANA eSports | 26c | 428.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.09 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 331$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.01 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 329.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 318$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.25 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MANA eSports | 27c | 261.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed ex-MANA eSports | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 70c | 247.31$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…ff46backed ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 230.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed ex-MANA eSports | 32c | 216.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 209.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…8475backed ex-MANA eSports | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 198.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 196.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…d80dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 192.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 188$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 30c | 174.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 31c | 163.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…1152backed ex-RUSTEC | 77c | 159.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 25c | 149.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed ex-MANA eSports | 36c | 108.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-RUSTEC | 69c | 106$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 36c | 99.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | -17.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 31c | 75.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed ex-MANA eSports | 23c | 72.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked ex-MANA eSports | 31c | 70.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed ex-MANA eSports | 34c | 64.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed ex-RUSTEC | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-MANA eSports | 27c | 47.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ex-MANA eSports | 33c | 38.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed ex-MANA eSports | 37c | 27.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 19.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stageex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.