CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd24ed3e3a9f6aa21ed42346fea5554e023cd8b9b37b4d172648bd6a05ee956c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUSTECof ex-RUSTEC, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 79c | 1,508$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.45 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed ex-MANA eSports | 7c | 1,466$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-MANA eSports | 24c | 727.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.71 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 79c | 597.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-MANA eSports | 20c | 588.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed ex-MANA eSports | 17c | 446.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ex-MANA eSports | 6c | 407$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-MANA eSports | 8c | 298.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-MANA eSports | 19c | 289$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ex-MANA eSports | 18c | 178.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ex-RUSTEC | 79c | 162$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 23c | 104$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked ex-RUSTEC | 77c | 95.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked ex-MANA eSports | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed ex-RUSTEC | 77c | 31.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed ex-RUSTEC | 75c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb6…052dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.