Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will GAIS vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742100a4f1d3412f53f17f660d1b55531ef836161307e1081fa709801a889b77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 3,404$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 78c | 2,531$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.69 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 1,493$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.94 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 43c | 513$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 30c | 465.28$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.28 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 51c | 440$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 27c | 373.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 75c | 316.31$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.58 | 50 | 80%40 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 19c | 296.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 277.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 19c | 240$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 39c | 233.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 47c | 212.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 46c | 206$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 73c | 136.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 73c | 136.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 46c | 103$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 76.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 20c | 55.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 54.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 37c | 51.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 35c | 51.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 70c | 18.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will GAIS vs. Halmstads BK end in a draw?this page
- Will GAIS win on 2026-07-26?No won
- Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.