Movies · resolved market
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743fa65ddfe84149ac04c8bd6ff6359adf1c65b754076d0cb3e32f2d0144d934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 15c | 1,387$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 11c | 1,017$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 8c | 559.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 8c | 439.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed No | 14c | 332.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…756cbacked No | 8c | 211.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 19c | 208.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed No | 12c | 202.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…ee20backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 10c | 190.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 167.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 8c | 167.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…be79backed No | 24c | 149.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…dc22backed Yes | 61c | 126.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…c6d4backed Yes | 80c | 125.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…9f5bbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…2998backed No | 15c | 99.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 18c | 61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee6…c5c5backed Yes | 76c | 43.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 70c | 40.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 66c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top US Netflix movie this week?this page
- Will "How to Train Your Dragon" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
- Will "Kpop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.