Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b1b31d53fa6874ec94170ab6e53879679cf29d02148ac86d1c9286497801a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 15,579$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 2,734$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 2c | 2,380$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 19c | 947.47$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.45 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 71c | 677.18$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.8 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 30c | 400.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 50c | 390.42$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.21 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Over | 31c | 194.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 57c | 162$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 73c | 150$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 73c | 111.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 96.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 29c | 84.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 83.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 52c | 70.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 63.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 66c | 29.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…811cbacked Over | 75c | 18.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)CD Nacional won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: O/U 0.5Over won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vitória SC vs. CD Nacional: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.