TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs EXSAD Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ZeroZone Gamingof ZeroZone Gaming, EXSAD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,961 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e3e…f882backed EXSAD Gaming0c11,420$11 inLost-$11.421,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e47…96c6backed ZeroZone Gaming72c993.83$711 inWon+$282.832373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked EXSAD Gaming15c407.05$61 inLost-$61.0650550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked EXSAD Gaming15c324$49 inLost-$48.5666559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked EXSAD Gaming40c270.66$107 inLost-$107.221,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked ZeroZone Gaming80c202.01$162 inWon+$40.427745.8%127 W · 150 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed EXSAD Gaming52c143$74 inLost-$73.681,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a29…8cc4backed EXSAD Gaming15c124.6$19 inLost-$18.6941151.1%210 W · 201 L+19.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x260d…98f9backed EXSAD Gaming11c89.98$10 inLost-$10.25261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed EXSAD Gaming20c85.5$17 inLost-$16.9928329.7%84 W · 199 L-32.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked EXSAD Gaming23c82$19 inLost-$19.2585849.5%425 W · 433 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked EXSAD Gaming36c67.35$24 inLost-$24.351,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed EXSAD Gaming26c61$16 inLost-$15.911,05746.1%487 W · 570 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked EXSAD Gaming26c57$15 inLost-$14.631,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked EXSAD Gaming25c42$10 inLost-$10.4594444.4%419 W · 525 L-31.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed ZeroZone Gaming70c14.86$10 inWon+$4.4752543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ZeroZone Gaming73c14.64$11 inWon+$3.882,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.