Tennis · resolved market
ITF Buzau: Sara Victoria Balan vs Maria Golovina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x752d9cc7d5040567648e5691b6711a3632af9191d990d5c759a758db2a8a4579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Golovinaof Sara Victoria Balan, Maria Golovina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Sara Victoria Balan | 60c | 1,160$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.09 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Golovina | 38c | 553.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Sara Victoria Balan | 33c | 512.54$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.14 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maria Golovina | 37c | 493.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.9 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Sara Victoria Balan | 70c | 406.27$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.34 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Maria Golovina | 63c | 406$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Golovina | 35c | 302.57$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Maria Golovina | 32c | 77.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Golovina | 32c | 66.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Maria Golovina | 67c | 61.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Maria Golovina | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Maria Golovina | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Maria Golovina | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Maria Golovina | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sara Victoria Balan | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Sara Victoria Balan | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Maria Golovina | 41c | 30.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Maria Golovina | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Golovina | 69c | 16.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Maria Golovina | 74c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.