Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Anastasia Zakharova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75409f92e8cd97be717067482e84b3a87965f2e228fb59e94734f04c4cebe3e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhangof Zhang, Zakharova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Zakharova | 51c | 6,131$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.42 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhang | 64c | 2,765$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.12 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Zhang | 60c | 1,478$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.93 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhang | 50c | 1,369$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.28 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zakharova | 14c | 1,075$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Zhang | 57c | 900$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Zhang | 58c | 749.47$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.18 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Zhang | 64c | 495.06$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Zhang | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Zhang | 63c | 376.32$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Zakharova | 11c | 322.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zhang | 59c | 291$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zakharova | 43c | 287.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zakharova | 38c | 186.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Zakharova | 34c | 175$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zhang | 53c | 174$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zhang | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zakharova | 29c | 133.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Zhang | 58c | 119$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Zakharova | 48c | 79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Zhang | 52c | 71.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Zhang | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zakharova | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zakharova | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…9a91backed Zhang | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zhang | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zhang | 61c | 32.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zakharova | 35c | 32.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Zakharova | 45c | 24.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.