Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754152a9ded61472bae436cf3038336a79f9b6d4251e1bb284cb70c5c17b27d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x435e…f153backed Under | 0c | 16,294$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 1,786$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 46c | 1,574$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 61c | 1,565$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 20c | 922.65$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.74 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 76c | 918.55$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 33c | 682.89$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 30c | 665.84$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.06 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 76c | 642.04$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 27c | 577.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 548.03$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 46c | 454.47$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 75c | 423.42$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.78 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 309.58$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 37c | 222.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Over | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 51c | 190.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 37c | 190.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 72c | 152.58$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 124.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 36c | 122.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 70c | 106.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 37c | 104.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 53c | 88.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 18c | 84.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…5709backed Over | 78c | 82.69$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5f…1f5cbacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 53c | 48.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 64c | 31.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 72c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 75c | 26.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 24.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 72c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 57c | 20.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 75c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 75c | 14.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Aberdeen FC (-1.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Aberdeen FC (-2.5)Heart of Midlothian FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)Aberdeen FC won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-2.5)Aberdeen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.