TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the PPC win 3 seats in the next Canadian Election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$991,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $991,364 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c22,433$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.254121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9f…5b06backed Yes1c12,619$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4579…5897backed Yes0c11,370$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…3098backed Yes0c9,475$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d3…a5fdbacked Yes0c9,475$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc5…98c3backed Yes0c9,475$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207e…f81bbacked Yes0c9,475$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c9,350$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.254521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f41…eafbbacked Yes0c7,580$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa48…0517backed Yes0c7,580$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d83…6becbacked Yes0c7,580$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x665c…f2f5backed Yes0c7,580$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8178…57cabacked Yes0c7,580$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8850…77a1backed Yes0c7,580$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…9503backed Yes0c7,580$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd41a…6584backed Yes0c7,580$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd414…a2a5backed Yes0c7,580$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70cd…65f5backed Yes0c7,580$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf5f…5310backed Yes0c7,580$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33ba…18dabacked Yes0c7,580$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba70…036bbacked Yes0c7,580$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c7,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.35132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e7…a343backed Yes0c5,708$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.86551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…eecfbacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ee…23d4backed Yes0c5,685$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a8…b60ebacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf22b…0cadbacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8031…220ebacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ca…c494backed Yes0c5,685$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x075b…ccb2backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a7d…95e7backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7619…85cdbacked Yes0c5,685$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf836…ec1abacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d5…b061backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7863…8c88backed Yes0c5,685$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1d…e7eabacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ee…7b27backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31f0…fcccbacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b10…5a57backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a36…5f2fbacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac6…262cbacked Yes0c5,685$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491b…d59cbacked Yes0c5,685$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b82…25babacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1673…befabacked Yes0c5,685$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f0…d3fabacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7571…e56bbacked Yes0c5,685$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3098…069ebacked Yes0c5,685$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8041…51a9backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db8…ae19backed Yes0c5,685$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x278a…35a0backed Yes0c5,685$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc88…809dbacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6691…241bbacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0240…b1c5backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a1f…2d65backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x601d…064abacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3550…af7abacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeadb…6315backed Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x959b…f1ddbacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x023d…233abacked Yes0c5,685$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb0backed Yes0c4,900$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b9…dababacked Yes0c4,500$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x593a…d652backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2300…fed3backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63e9…19cabacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39de…3a7dbacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2257…aca0backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9955…0bb7backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf52…196bbacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba2…130bbacked Yes0c3,790$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc0…4f8abacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c7…6ee7backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2adb…3fe6backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3e…6d38backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d91…271fbacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6143…1d6fbacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0283backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x513c…3c01backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0b…3153backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2641…7942backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f2b…7f59backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3484…1724backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962c…2e91backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c8…c91fbacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078b…43ebbacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd95…0ad1backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab8…b580backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb497…f5dabacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1c…ff4abacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe2…ca29backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd67f…a166backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d91…b675backed Yes0c3,790$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c89…e041backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0599…80c3backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7016…ee7dbacked Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd0…3235backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x427c…ae78backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x553f…2156backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc945…fbd5backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab86…8b11backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc45…fcf7backed Yes0c3,790$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.