Tennis · resolved market
ITF Florence: Kate Fakih vs Alexis Nguyen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d53f99760d44cf1d0b8c5e49d2dd325a54f14f1d2090a9aea1bcc71ed83973
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexis Nguyenof Kate Fakih, Alexis Nguyen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Kate Fakih | 1c | 2,203$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kate Fakih | 60c | 923.02$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.04 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…b843backed Alexis Nguyen | 59c | 847.13$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kate Fakih | 71c | 788.66$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.52 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexis Nguyen | 44c | 629.82$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.63 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alexis Nguyen | 40c | 503.74$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.32 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexis Nguyen | 61c | 252$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.76 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…ed8fbacked Kate Fakih | 60c | 191.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alexis Nguyen | 24c | 181.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Alexis Nguyen | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kate Fakih | 57c | 127.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alexis Nguyen | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Kate Fakih | 75c | 83.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Kate Fakih | 76c | 81.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kate Fakih | 53c | 76.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Kate Fakih | 71c | 70.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kate Fakih | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…ddc0backed Alexis Nguyen | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Kate Fakih | 60c | 46.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Alexis Nguyen | 40c | 41.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kate Fakih | 56c | 17.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.