Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75df312d5a530576407c2f15a16dfa5f27054e010868b81206cce267ab3f8770
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed TYLOO | 72c | 2,473$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.76 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Trace Esports | 42c | 515$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trace Esports | 22c | 470$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.84 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports | 33c | 379.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed TYLOO | 58c | 358.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Trace Esports | 30c | 345.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Trace Esports | 28c | 338$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Trace Esports | 25c | 322$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Trace Esports | 27c | 266.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Trace Esports | 31c | 237$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Trace Esports | 26c | 189$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…b109backed Trace Esports | 19c | 155.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | +22.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Trace Esports | 28c | 155.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed TYLOO | 76c | 129$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports | 30c | 127.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Trace Esports | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Trace Esports | 22c | 115$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports | 24c | 103.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Trace Esports | 26c | 102.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Trace Esports | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed TYLOO | 78c | 72.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Trace Esports | 28c | 72.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Trace Esports | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked TYLOO | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Trace Esports | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Trace Esports | 22c | 64.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked TYLOO | 63c | 54.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trace Esports | 26c | 40.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…07c2backed TYLOO | 74c | 40.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Trace Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Trace Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…4b45backed TYLOO | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Trace Esports | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Trace Esports | 28c | 39.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Trace Esports | 31c | 39.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed TYLOO | 58c | 35.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed TYLOO | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)TYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaTYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.