Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5f0cc11aa8f16bd0e84b1e6d0882cc8e6cec06720a0bc8e518ce20844580d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof TYLOO, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Trace Esports | 42c | 515$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.3 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed TYLOO | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Trace Esports | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked TYLOO | 60c | 450$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed TYLOO | 58c | 365.32$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.32 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Trace Esports | 23c | 294.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed TYLOO | 73c | 251$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Trace Esports | 42c | 249.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed TYLOO | 70c | 214.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Trace Esports | 39c | 129.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Trace Esports | 13c | 91.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed TYLOO | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed TYLOO | 59c | 81.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Trace Esports | 42c | 71.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Trace Esports | 38c | 67.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 264 | 47.3%125 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Trace Esports | 41c | 66.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed Trace Esports | 32c | 62.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked TYLOO | 69c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Trace Esports | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked TYLOO | 68c | 47.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…cb0cbacked TYLOO | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Trace Esports | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed TYLOO | 67c | 28.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…613dbacked TYLOO | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed TYLOO | 59c | 18.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Trace Esports (+1.5)TYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaTYLOO won
- Valorant: TYLOO vs Trace Esports - Map 2 WinnerTYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.