Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Zsombor Piros vs Mika Brunold
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75e0ef6642e82b0a5d83d2e09dc4ad4dc96aa049963e76501853dab4ab90fece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zsombor Pirosof Zsombor Piros, Mika Brunold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Zsombor Piros | 61c | 17,269$10,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.58 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mika Brunold | 36c | 11,135$4,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.06 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mika Brunold | 40c | 5,332$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.18 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mika Brunold | 21c | 1,600$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.37 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mika Brunold | 39c | 1,392$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.52 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mika Brunold | 36c | 622.35$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Mika Brunold | 38c | 605.02$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Zsombor Piros | 51c | 587.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.29 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Mika Brunold | 41c | 484.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Zsombor Piros | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zsombor Piros | 60c | 341.29$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mika Brunold | 38c | 307.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Zsombor Piros | 62c | 305.11$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Zsombor Piros | 62c | 286.86$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.01 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Zsombor Piros | 61c | 282.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Mika Brunold | 39c | 280.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mika Brunold | 33c | 261.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Mika Brunold | 41c | 246.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Zsombor Piros | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Mika Brunold | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Zsombor Piros | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Mika Brunold | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Mika Brunold | 38c | 161.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Zsombor Piros | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Mika Brunold | 44c | 135.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zsombor Piros | 61c | 130.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Mika Brunold | 39c | 115.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Zsombor Piros | 61c | 112$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Mika Brunold | 45c | 111.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mika Brunold | 39c | 101.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Mika Brunold | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Zsombor Piros | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Zsombor Piros | 61c | 92.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Zsombor Piros | 57c | 91.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Mika Brunold | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Zsombor Piros | 60c | 82.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Zsombor Piros | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Mika Brunold | 38c | 76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed Mika Brunold | 20c | 72.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Zsombor Piros | 62c | 64.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Zsombor Piros | 59c | 63.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Zsombor Piros | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Mika Brunold | 38c | 52.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Zsombor Piros | 66c | 51.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Mika Brunold | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Zsombor Piros | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Zsombor Piros | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Zsombor Piros | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Mika Brunold | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af6…167dbacked Mika Brunold | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Mika Brunold | 41c | 39.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mika Brunold | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zsombor Piros | 71c | 33.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Zsombor Piros | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mika Brunold | 39c | 30.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Zsombor Piros | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Zsombor Piros | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Mika Brunold | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Zsombor Piros | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Zsombor Piros | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Zsombor Piros | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Zsombor Piros | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.