Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aschaffenburg: Teodora Kostovic vs Jule Niemeier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75eec683e55b7a6689dc5e2e2f7a8ac42c9d45f2c1e1ba8604b79f3581a01943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teodora Kostovicof Teodora Kostovic, Jule Niemeier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Teodora Kostovic | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Teodora Kostovic | 64c | 4,775$3,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jule Niemeier | 52c | 4,656$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.17 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jule Niemeier | 37c | 3,762$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jule Niemeier | 21c | 817.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.54 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Teodora Kostovic | 79c | 779$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.59 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jule Niemeier | 56c | 766.05$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.14 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Jule Niemeier | 47c | 470$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.58 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Jule Niemeier | 46c | 288.26$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Teodora Kostovic | 61c | 247.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Jule Niemeier | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Teodora Kostovic | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Teodora Kostovic | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Jule Niemeier | 25c | 104.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jule Niemeier | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Teodora Kostovic | 40c | 87.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Jule Niemeier | 65c | 77.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Teodora Kostovic | 72c | 69.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Jule Niemeier | 47c | 59.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jule Niemeier | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Jule Niemeier | 26c | 46.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 124 | 23.4%29 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Teodora Kostovic | 60c | 45.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Teodora Kostovic | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Jule Niemeier | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Jule Niemeier | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…e345backed Jule Niemeier | 41c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jule Niemeier | 34c | 32.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Jule Niemeier | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Jule Niemeier | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Teodora Kostovic | 65c | 25.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Jule Niemeier | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…fe8abacked Teodora Kostovic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Jule Niemeier | 63c | 23.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 22.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Jule Niemeier | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Teodora Kostovic | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Teodora Kostovic | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Teodora Kostovic | 63c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…e8a4backed Teodora Kostovic | 79c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…3015backed Teodora Kostovic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 78cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.