Tennis · resolved market
Chennai: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Ilia Simakin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7641266a4a7644e0153c71000cd625540696f0a88effeef30c8e419fba850d94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Silvaof Silva, Simakin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Simakin | 25c | 1,306$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.72 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Silva | 70c | 1,100$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.8 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Simakin | 30c | 399.71$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Silva | 58c | 346.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Simakin | 12c | 292.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Simakin | 42c | 244.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.73 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Simakin | 43c | 179.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Silva | 52c | 153.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Silva | 53c | 140.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Silva | 57c | 107$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Simakin | 44c | 89.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Simakin | 44c | 81.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed Simakin | 48c | 73.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed Silva | 56c | 62.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Silva | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Silva | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Simakin | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Silva | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Silva | 59c | 33.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Silva | 55c | 31.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Simakin | 45c | 24.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…901cbacked Silva | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.